Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.473294 1.730624 1.999278 2.299047 2.622635 2.959974 3.336821
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.039367 1.385926 1.771530 2.225308 2.738217 3.294278 3.937220
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.797161 1.177348 1.621598 2.164542 2.797351 3.500563 4.330691
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.623402 1.021897 1.510383 2.128440 2.868308 3.707682 4.715363
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.522010 0.938765 1.470952 2.163364 3.009524 3.984454 5.169323
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.430467 0.854602 1.419431 2.174567 3.115431 4.214916 5.565925
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.339638 0.756951 1.339454 2.140982 3.159614 4.366854 5.866273
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.311184 0.747365 1.374281 2.251807 3.379820 4.727364 6.411064
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.288330 0.742807 1.413680 2.367006 3.604595 5.093087 6.962288
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.272163 0.746529 1.463208 2.494692 3.844744 5.477552 7.536400
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.262452 0.759499 1.525142 2.638593 4.105527 5.887550 8.141831
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.235443 0.738143 1.534654 2.710146 4.273062 6.183295 8.610505
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.191479 0.682410 1.494727 2.719814 4.370315 6.405157 9.006893
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.137313 0.594372 1.398741 2.647639 4.359358 6.493142 9.242923
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.094737 0.516150 1.309242 2.577496 4.345211 6.572276 9.463670
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065676 0.457681 1.245202 2.538711 4.368419 6.694701 9.734032
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051132 0.432259 1.234712 2.576897 4.494047 6.946008 10.162595
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036695 0.399758 1.208467 2.589391 4.583407 7.150378 10.532816
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021738 0.353340 1.151804 2.552273 4.602375 7.263025 10.788092
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020010 0.361193 1.197969 2.674532 4.842578 7.661296 11.400224
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018686 0.370443 1.246878 2.801334 5.089559 8.068945 12.024916
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018206 0.383865 1.304139 2.941601 5.355853 8.502250 12.682560
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.018694 0.402638 1.372239 3.099342 5.647127 8.968586 13.382403